UFC on FOX 14 takes place Saturday, January 24th in  Stockholm, Sweden. With Alexander Gustafson and Anthony Johnson fighting for a title shot, the UFC took a gamble and booked the Tele2 Arena, a stadium with a seating capacity around 30,000. Rumor has it that the UFC has exceeded 25,000 ticket sales already, making it the second largest event they have ever put on .

The main event isn’t the only fight which will shake things up in the light heavyweight division, though. Another light heavyweight bout is scheduled on the main card between Phil Davis and Ryan Bader. The winner of this fight will be within striking distance of a title shot as well following Jones’ next defense against the winner of Gustafsson and Johnson.

BetUS.com currently has Phil Davis as a -260 favorite with Ryan Bader sitting at a +200 underdog. Considering that Bader is currently ranked 7th and Davis is ranked 5th in the UFC’s light heavyweight rankings, those odds seem kind of steep. For all the gamblers out there, this is a fight you may want to take advantage of.

Both fighter’s have won four of their last five fights, but Bader has momentum on his side as he comes into this fight riding a three fight win streak. Davis on the other hand has one win under his belt in his last two outings. Even still, the odds and rankings are a true reflection of how these fighters are viewed. Bader must win this fight if he intends on getting anywhere near a title shot in the near future.

Bader has the tools to win this fight, despite what the odds are reflecting. Here are Ryan Bader’s keys to victory over Phil Davis.

Volume 

On paper, Phil Davis and Ryan Bader are nearly identical. Statistically, Davis has the edge in significant strikes. If Bader is to pull off the victory, he is going to have to let his hands go. Reliance up volume over power may be the answer. Bader has the capacity to knock out Davis, but waiting around and trying to find the opening for that one big shot is a gamble that he may lose.

Cardio 

This is a fight between two athletes that competed on the highest level in collegiate wrestling. Both men are multiple time NCAA All-Americans. That recipe has been known to yield fights that involve two great wrestlers putting on what looks more like a sub-par kick boxing match. Davis has to be prepared for a striking battle, but also have the conditioning to wrestle for fifteen minutes if need be. No doubt they are going to attempt to take each other to the mat. If they don’t nullify each other, it can turn into a grueling 15 minutes of grappling. Also to be considered is the fact that Davis has never been finished. This fight has 15 minutes written all over it.

Capitalize

No doubt this fight is going to involve at least some wrestling. Even if they nullify each other, Davis is going to be shooting in for those take downs and I’m sure Bader will reciprocate. Those moments may present some openings for Bader to either grab a guillotine or slip in some heavy punches. Surely, Davis will be aware of that and it’s no easy task, but if the opportunity presents itself, Bader must capitalize on it. It’s unlikely that Davis will make to many mistakes. It may seem like a stretch considering Bader’s recent victories all going the distance, but toward the beginning of his career, he was known as a finisher. Bader was knocking opponents out and submitting them, too. Of his eighteen professional wins, ten have been finishes. He is due for a finish and what better fight to deliver on.

About The Author

Michael Davis
Director, Business Development/Senior Staff Writer

Michael Davis is a seasoned professional in the world of finance. In recent years, he has worked for Fortune 500 companies and consulted at one of the largest hedge funds in the world. After working closely with a mixed martial arts management company, he realized he could apply his skills to the sport he loved. The culmination of his professional experience and passion for MMA have led him to his role as Senior Staff Writer and Director of Business Development at The MMA Corner.