A Gambler’s Guide to Mayweather vs. Pacquiao RJ Gardner April 30, 2015 Events, Previews In just a few short days, the most lucrative fight in boxing history is set to take place. On Saturday, May 2, 2015, Floyd Mayweather, Jr. and Manny Pacquiao will finally meet in the ring at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. Current estimates state that both fighters will be taking home nine figure paychecks for their efforts in the ring regardless of the outcome. You read that right nine figures. Even though Saturday’s fight features the two best boxers of this generation, the event will surely be more spectacle than substance. Mayweather and Pacquiao – while still great – are both on the wrong side of 35 at this point. When you pit two aging greats against one another with legacy on the line anything can happen. That’s what makes this bout so exciting from a gambler’s perspective. With these two, I can see this fight ending in a number of ways; I have my head telling me one thing, my heart telling me another and then there is this little voice screaming at me to do the unthinkable. Because of this internal struggle, I haven’t made my official pick for this fight yet, but here are the three options I am contemplating. Your guess is as good as mine at this point. The Smart Money Play At -215, Mayweather is the favorite heading into Saturday and rightfully so. Mayweather is one of the greatest technical boxers of all-time and no one has bested him in his pro career. Pacquiao may be able to hit him early while Mayweather is feeling things out, but once he settles in Mayweather will become a ghost. His innate defensive ability combined with his precision counter-punching means Mayweather will win a lot of rounds and ultimately a decision. The Fanboy Play At +185, Pacquiao isn’t a huge underdog, but he’s the underdog none the less. That combined with Mayweather’s undefeated record and legacy means that Pacquiao really doesn’t have anything to lose. That will allow Pacquiao to fight loose and free. He’s still going to have to stay in control, but he’ll have a great opportunity early on to throw Mayweather off his game. If Pacquiao can keep the pressure on while maintaining solid defense, he can dethrone the pound-for-pound king. The Crazy Play Considering the stylistic matchup between Pacquiao’s high output and Mayweather’s less is more approach, scoring the rounds could be difficult for the judges. At +1800, picking this fight to end in a Draw might not be a bad idea. Even if you make a small prop play here to pair with a win bet, it comes at a great value. Laying $100 to potentially win $1,800 isn’t a bad thing.