A Gambler’s Guide to UFC Fight Night 75

After nearly a year,the UFC will finally return to the land of the rising sun. On Sunday, Sept. 27, 2015, the UFC will head to the famed Saitama Super Arena in Saitama, Japan, for UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs. Nelson.

Headlined by a heavyweight bout between Josh Barnett and Roy Nelson, UFC Fight Night 75 has the potential to be an extremely entertain, fan friendly card. On top of that, local fans will be treated to some of the UFC’s best and brightest Japanese talent.

All in all, UFC Fight Night 75 is a fight card you won’t want to miss; especially if you are a gambler. While there is money to be made straight up, this card has a host of intriguing prop bets that could really payoff if you know what to look for.

Gegard Mousasi vs. Uriah Hall

The co-main event of the evening, middleweight strikers Mousasi and Hall will battle for position in one of the UFC’s most talent rich divisions. Coming off of an impressive TKO victory in his last outing, this is a huge step up in competition for Hall who took this fight on short notice. Mousasi is one of the most technically gifted fighters in the UFC and he has consistently faced much better competition.

Given both men’s striking prowess, this bout has the potential to be spectacular. But at the same time, both men are known for fighting lax at times which means this bout could also turn out to be a real snooze fest. At the end of the day, expect this bout to be entertaining and expect to see Mousasi come out on top.

Play: At -450, ignore the straight up play on Mousasi to win. Instead, at +111, take Mousasi to win by decision.

Josh Barnett vs. Roy Nelson

In the main event of the evening, aging heavyweights Barnett and Nelson look to remain relevant in a division that continues to get older by the day. Five or six years ago, this matchup would have been a real treat, but even though both fighters are past their primes, it’s still an interesting matchup. Barnett and Nelson are both extremely talented ground fighters, but Nelson has ignored that facet of his game because of the knockout power he possesses.

Nelson is going to hunt for that big fight ending overhand right while Barnett is going to try to bring this fight to the ground. But even if Barnett can’t bring this fight to the ground, as long as he can avoid that one big shot from Nelson, he should be able to outpoint Nelson on the feet as well.

Barnett just has a more diverse skill set than Nelson. On paper, Nelson and Barnett have similar grappling chops, but Nelson has put too much focus into being a knockout artist. That one dimensional approach is going to cost him against Barnett.

Play: At -260, take Barnett to win, and at +387, take him to win by decision. But because of his power at +350, it makes sense to lay a little on Nelson to win by TKO/KO.

Odds Provided By BestFightOdds.com