The Ultimate Fighter Latin America 2: Finale (also known as UFC Fight Night 78) is scheduled to take place in Monterrey, Mexico on November, 21. This event was originally supposed to feature No. 5 welterweight contender Matt Brown welcome Kelvin Gastelum back to 170-lbs, but an injury forced Brown to withdraw and put Neil Magny in the headline bout last minute.

The co-main event will feature No. 4 featherweight contender Ricardo Lamas take on the one-time title challenger at 155-lbs in Diego Sanchez in a 145-lbs matchup. Sanchez has lost three of his last six bouts, two of which were contested at welterweight. Lamas has only lost two in as many fights, which were against the current champion Jose Aldo and No. 3 fighter in his division, Chad Mendes.

Kelvin Gastelum (-300) is the clear betting favorite over last minute replacement Neil Magny (+250), however this is one where the money is on the underdog. Magny has only had serious trouble with one opponent in the last two years, going 8-1 with a seven fight win-streak. Some speculators may be looking at Gastelum’s wrestling and control and think Magny will have trouble with that, however Magny has the clear advantage in the stand-up and while he was submitted in his most recent loss, his guard and ground game are elite and Gastelum is no Demian Maia on the ground no matter how you look at it.

In the co-main event, Ricardo Lamas (-500) is the second-biggest favorite on the card, with opponent Diego Sanchez (+385) not being taken seriously at 145-lbs. This is definitely one where the odds makers probably got it right. Not to take anything away from Sanchez, who does have power and a solid wrestling base, but considering he’s spent so much time going back and forth between lightweight and welterweight, it’s unlikely the drop to 145 will see an increase in his visibly slowing athletic abilities. Furthermore, while Lamas came up short in his last fight, he’s still a star on the rise and has been facing much stiffer competition than Sanchez. The odds are so one-sided because Lamas is the easy money, but Sanchez is still dangerous enough it wouldn’t be the smart bet, given the low payout.

Our third-marquee bout on the main card features a flyweight bout that screams “Title Shot!” No. 5 Henry Cejudo (-550), an Olympic gold medalist for freestyle wrestling, on paper would appear to deserve the odds he’s been given. Add on the fact his opponent, No. 3 Jussier Formiga (+420) has already lost to the two contenders above him in the rankings, and it seems like easy money. Well think again, because a closer look reveals that Formiga has shown great improvement with each fight the last two years and this will be Cejudo’s first test against an elite member of the division. While there’s no logical reason to assume Cejudo won’t perform as expected, the odds and Formiga’s abilities make him the big money winner on this card.

Be sure to get signed up over at SportsBetting.ag, who provided all the odds in this article and get your 50% first deposit bonus. Once you have loaded your account, you will be ready to bet on this weekend’s UFC 193 event. Also be sure to check back here after the fight and see how our picks faired. Good luck!