(Esther Lin/MMA Fighting)A Gambler’s Guide to UFC Fight Night 50 RJ Gardner September 3, 2014 Events, Spotlight For the first time ever, the UFC and Bellator will be going head to head. Not only will both promotions be holding events on Friday, September 5th, but both will be happening miles apart in Connecticut. The UFC obviously wants to make a statement as they have put together a stacked card that will air for free on Fox Sports 1. UFC Fight Night 50 features a middleweight bout with title picture implications between Gegard Mousasi and Rondaldo “Jacare” Souza, as well as a heavyweight clash between Alistair Overeem and Ben Rothwell. With so many intriguing matchups let’s take a look at the card through the eyes of a gambler. Gegard Mousasi, +255 vs. Ronaldo Souza, -310 Jacare has been on a roll as of late; he has won his last six bouts with five of those wins coming by way of stoppage. Everyone knows that Jacare has an elite ground game, but his striking is improving by leaps and bounds. Mousasi—on the other hand—is an elite striker with a dangerous ground game. Also, he also already has a KO victory over Jacare. Souza is the favorite in this bout, and rightfully so, but at +255 making a play on Mousasi makes a lot of sense. As long as Mousasi can keep Souza on the outside he will pick him apart with a superior striking game. The play — Take Mousasi to win Alistair Overeem, -550 vs. Ben Rothwell, +425 Rothwell is as tough as they come, but he is not in Overeem’s league. Overeem is an absolute killer and Rotherwell has nothing more than a puncher’s chance. The play — STAY AWAY Derrick Lewis, -160 vs. Matt Mitrione, +140 This is a heavyweight bout that has a lot of potential. The line isn’t great either way, but Lewis and Mitrione are big powerful strikers who are going to look to knockout each other out. Lewis is unbeaten in his last eight bouts and all seven of his wins have come by way of knockout. Mitrione has faced some stiffer competition, but Lewis is still a better striker than he is. Someone is going to sleep in this bout. The play – Take Lewis to win for a small payout Joe Lauzon, +120 vs. Michael Chiesa, -140 Another fight with a tight line but loads of potential; Lauzon is simply the kind of fighter fans love to watch. He may not win every bout, but he lays it on the line and looks to entertain every time he steps into the cage. Chiesa is an exciting fighter in his own right with a ton of promise, but Lauzon is a big step up in competition for him. Expect Chiesa to have a lot of problems with the crafty veteran who is hungry to get back in to the Top 10. The play – Take Lauzon to win Charles Oliveira, -150 vs. Nik Lentz, +130 Lentz and Oliveira are two talented featherweights who both have the potential to be title contenders if they are able to string some wins together. At just 24-years-old, Oliveira is fighter to keep a close eye on as he keeps getting better and better with every outing. Lentz, on the other hand, is in the prime of his career. If he is going to make a run the time is now. Both guys are solid grapplers: Lentz a wrestler and Oliveira a BJJ black belt. Expect this one to be an exciting back-and-forth grappling affair. Ultimately Lentz makes a mistake though and Oliveira takes advantage. The play – Take Oliveira to win John Moraga, +185 vs. Justin Scoggins, -225 This is a pivotal bout for the UFC flyweight division. Demetrious Johnson is cleaning out the division and new contenders are needed. Moraga has already come up short in his first title bid and Scoggins is a rising star looking to take that next step. Scoggins looks like the real deal, but Moraga is at the top of his game right now and he has faced some of the best fighters in the world. This is going to be a hard fought bout, but at the end of the day his experience against tougher competition will carry Moraga to the victory. The play – Take Moraga to win Odd by BestFightOdds.com bonkerstheclown mcpickle Bets I’d throw my money at if I had any: Bet on Mousasi to win. He has all the skills to counter Jacare and he’s a better striker than Souza. Gotta disagree with you on Overeem. Rothwell may not be his equal in striking but Rothwell has an absolutely iron chin. Overeem’s notorious glass jaw will fail him again and folks who put their money on Rothwell with those odds will make a nice payday. Bet money you can afford to lose on Mitrione, I think he’s going to surprise some people and I think Lewis is an unproven quantity at this point.