On Saturday, May 8, the UFC is heading to the Netherlands in an event that has a ton of fights that have a lot of very close match ups. Below we will take a look at some of the betting line underdogs and see which fighters have the best chance of pulling off the upset and taking out the favorite in their matchup.

Andrei Arlovski (+185)

Arlovski is coming off a devastating loss to current title challenger Stipe Miocic, in a fight that if he was victorious would’ve made it four wins in a row since returning to the promotion. This is a must win fight for Arlovski against an opponent in Alistair Overeem who has never lived up to the hype that he had when entering the promotion until his last fight, coming off a knockout victory of former champion Junior dos Santos where he never looked better. Although, by no means, do I believe that this is an easy fight for Arlovski, nor do I favor him going into this matchup, this is a very winnable fight for the former heavyweight champion. What made Overeem look so good in his last bout is the patience that he showed and sticking to the game plan. This is something that Overeem has recently had problems with, dropping losses to Antonio Silva, Travis Browne, and Ben Rothwell all due to getting reckless and getting caught with a shot.

If Arlovski is able to keep away from Overeems power and turn this into a brawl over the course of five rounds, I do see a lot of value in him landing a shot to possibly put Overeem away. Overeem has shown that his chin isn’t what it used to be, and with 54 professional fights, this fight will determine if his chin can hold up enough to be a UFC champion.

Antonio Silva (+165)

Silva is a fighter who used to be one of the best heavyweight alive, defeating big names in his career like Overeem, Browne, and Arlovski. He has taken a lot of damage in recent fights and it is clear that he is nowhere near the fighter that he used to be and is at the closing point of his career. His chin has for sure looked suspect recently, but luckily for him, he has an opponent in Stefan Struve who doesn’t necessarily have the one punch power that other fighter that have defeated him recently have.

Struve was one of the top heavyweight prospects when he entered the UFC and has beaten some good opponents in his career, but after taking time off due to medical conditions, since his return has as well not looked very impressive. Since 2014 he has gone 1-2, with his win against Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira not looking very impressive. He is coming off a loss to Jared Rosholt who has since been released by the UFC, in a fight that was debatably one of the worst fights of 2015. I believe both fighters have severely gotten worse and are far from what their prime used to be, but I do favor Antonio Silva in this matchup. I feel Struve has looked very tentative in his recent fights and I favor Silva to get the finish in this fight. Even if the bout does end up going the distance, I feel that “Big Foot” will be able to edge out the victory on the judges scorecards.

Chris Wade (+170)

The New York native is one of the top prospects in the lightweight division and is facing his toughest test to date in Rustam Khabilov. Wade has looked phenomenal in his run in the UFC going 4-0 and beating his opponents with ease. This is his first step up in competition and although I think it will be very tough for Wade to find the victory, I believe that he will be able to get it done.

Wade is a wrestler who likes to take his opponent down to the ground and wear them down by being relentless with takedowns. Khabilov is also a pretty good wrestler where I see him finding success with keeping the fight standing. Khabilov on paper definitely has the striking advantage but I think Wade has some underrated standup and could hang with him until getting a takedown and going to work on the ground. This is definitely a tough test for Wade, but a test I think he can overcome, and with a victory propel his name into getting a big step up in competition and a bigger name in the lightweight division.

About The Author

Jake Schneider
Staff Writer

Jake Schneider is a student at the University of Rhode Island who is currently looking to pursue a double major in Communications and Journalism. He is an MMA fanatic who has been following the sport for years. He began to share his wealth of knowledge and opinions on the sport to many of his family members and friends as well as various MMA forums online. His love and passion for the sport has been able to make many people that are a part of his life fans of mixed martial arts as well. His insight of the sport both inside and outside of the cage is what makes his analysis on fights and individual fighters so well informed.